Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Market Skim Through: July 24. GERI is active and green, AGI flexing true strength

Another green index today, jumping 0.9%, ending at above 6800.

GERI is a non-blue-chip and, judging from its terrible price movement the past few weeks, a prodigal daughter of AGI. But it interestingly came inside top 20 most active today, and with a big green candle at that. Top buyers are locals (Macquarie is a top buyer but a net seller nevertheless). Are local fund managers starting to take in GERI as part of the speculative bet in their portfolio? Most mutual funds and UITF are composed of 30 issues, and many managers include strong 2nd and 3rd liners in the pool. GERI could be a good bet, considering it is near oversold. While it suffered one of the steepest downturn in the past few weeks, it is still a promising company showing +30% increase in income, and one of the Andrew Tan's subsidiary  earmarked for expansion as they set their sight, as disclosed, on riding the increasing tourism in the country.


The mothership, AGI, was the top most active and also the leader of the index issues. This one stock that did not suffer much during the sell-off is now the first one to return to its level when the index was at 7000+. There's indeed a theory along this line--that the issue that suffered least in a correction (or bucked the trend of a major correction) will also be the strongest when the market recovers. Ah, should have kept my considerable position that I sold last week at 25.8. But if AGI should continue strongly, MEG, ELI, and GERI should follow (I have positions in all 3).

COSCO was also remarkable today. When I see this type of jump, my stubble beard tells me Lucio Co is eyeing another venture. Will he really take over the local franchise of Wendy's?

SECB recovered at last, probably due to this positive news.

http://www.philstar.com/business/2013/07/24/1004831/asiamoney-names-security-bank-best-domestic-bank

But the higher-impact news, I would say is when they announce ex-date for their committed stock dividend. Anyway, my buys for average down yesterday and early today worked. I hope momentum will take price back to at least 170. If movement shows weakness, I intend to cut some position hopefully at above 155 at least. Hard to think that this used to be at 200 +, and chartists were saying its blue skies forward back then). SECB was also once a foreign fund favorite. Will locals take the baton and bring it back to 200?

Interesting high volume also for MER, MPI, TA, ICT, but all are dojis (no price change). Best to study these four further.

No.
Symbol
Last Price
Change
%Change
Volume
Value
1
27
1
3.85%
26,246,900
707,547,245
2
11.2
0.56
5.26%
47,936,600
530,377,276
3
960
10
1.05%
460,290
441,229,990
4
3,078.00
-22
-0.71%
124,345
383,749,800
5
31.4
0.5
1.62%
12,109,300
379,110,815
6
85.95
1
1.18%
4,236,930
364,132,088
7
285
0
0.00%
1,197,140
341,469,506
8
640
10
1.59%
526,130
335,826,685
9
5.39
0
0.00%
61,503,700
331,239,782
10
129
3.9
3.12%
2,504,120
322,688,635
11
18.98
0.5
2.71%
16,404,500
307,572,916
12
41
1.05
2.63%
7,148,200
288,164,145
13
111
0.3
0.27%
1,705,100
189,654,185
14
3.56
0.06
1.71%
52,834,000
187,211,500
15
146
6.7
4.81%
907,420
130,376,847
16
2.72
0
0.00%
45,263,000
124,454,470
17
93
0
0.00%
1,281,930
119,354,863
18
1.73
0.11
6.79%
67,536,000
112,207,640
19
23.3
0.3
1.30%
4,470,500
104,013,750
20
10.1
0.08
0.80%
10,310,400
103,897,796

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