If we are really on the recovery/upsurge now, it's good to look at fundamentally-solid (read: not SMC) and high-volume-traded (not SGI) first liners that have negative or almost-nil 1yr returns. These are the issues that took beating almost for no reason, other than the QE tapering and foreign funds wanting to exit.
Plus points if the stock has below-15 current P/E.
In my watchlist are
SECB (-10% 52wk, 13 P/E)
MBT (3% 1yr return, 9 P/E)
FLI (-15% 1yr, 8 P/E)
AP (1% 1 year, 13 P/E)
BPI is marginal. Although it has negative 52wk return, it has above 15 P/E.
If you bet this way, you'll be banking on the possibility that foreign funds will look first on these issues as the among the first ones to recover fast. And we hope to get on in that ride.
Share also your watchlist.
Showing posts with label AP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AP. Show all posts
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Monday, September 9, 2013
Pick of the week for Week 37: GTCAP hopefully at 750; observe VLL; GMA7 for divs???
GTCAP is the pick of the week due to the index adjustment favoring this stock. As mentioned here, Im hoping to re-enter at 750 (which served as strong support before). If not, I might enter at any-price-below-800 on Thursday.
I will also be closely watching VLL. It should announce divs soon, and would easily make 5.5 after.
GMA7 might also announce hefty divs soon, giving whoever is lucky enough to buy on the same day an instant +4%. (ABS, no chance, since it is tied up with a covenant of no-dividend higher-than-previously-set with its creditors). There is a question mark though since it is lightly-traded. GMA's price is at currently at its previous lowest/strongest support, furthermore at a cheap 14 forward P/E. But at this volume, it can still go further down. So I guess, it's whether you are willing to hold this stock until the rosy months of Dec - Feb, in case it goes further down after you buy.
All these picks are made, again, on the backdrop of volatility and low volume. Yes, we are still at that environment where +5% is heaven. Volume is low and there are up-and-down tussles even in solid companies. The aim is to just benefit the volatility, sell in a few days. In fact it is better to just stay out.
Our kinds who still participate in these conditions are probably just after that fulfilment and entertainment in getting +3-5% in days, rather than solid assured portfolio growth. For this purpose, GTCAP, VLL, GMA7 could be good picks (for short-term only) this week.
Lastly, as we've been saying since June, never all-in.
p.s. The Consunjis and the Aboitizes are known to defend their stock. I was also about to choose among DMC, AEV, AP, and SCC to take advantage of their buying. But all four already have significant increases yesterday. They might have bought already (wait for the disclosure), there might not be a quick +3% in the coming days.
I will also be closely watching VLL. It should announce divs soon, and would easily make 5.5 after.
GMA7 might also announce hefty divs soon, giving whoever is lucky enough to buy on the same day an instant +4%. (ABS, no chance, since it is tied up with a covenant of no-dividend higher-than-previously-set with its creditors). There is a question mark though since it is lightly-traded. GMA's price is at currently at its previous lowest/strongest support, furthermore at a cheap 14 forward P/E. But at this volume, it can still go further down. So I guess, it's whether you are willing to hold this stock until the rosy months of Dec - Feb, in case it goes further down after you buy.
All these picks are made, again, on the backdrop of volatility and low volume. Yes, we are still at that environment where +5% is heaven. Volume is low and there are up-and-down tussles even in solid companies. The aim is to just benefit the volatility, sell in a few days. In fact it is better to just stay out.
Our kinds who still participate in these conditions are probably just after that fulfilment and entertainment in getting +3-5% in days, rather than solid assured portfolio growth. For this purpose, GTCAP, VLL, GMA7 could be good picks (for short-term only) this week.
Lastly, as we've been saying since June, never all-in.
p.s. The Consunjis and the Aboitizes are known to defend their stock. I was also about to choose among DMC, AEV, AP, and SCC to take advantage of their buying. But all four already have significant increases yesterday. They might have bought already (wait for the disclosure), there might not be a quick +3% in the coming days.
Wednesday, August 14, 2013
Clap! Clap! Clap! CPG
Maraming salamat CPG, maraming salamat Robbie da Pogi, maraming salamat Paris Hilton at sa iyong dedeng masyadong pinisa para magka-cleavage.
Tama na sa akon ang diyes porsyentong kita na naani pagkatapos lamang ng tatlong araw. Bakit hindi ko hinintay ma-abot ang rurok ng luwalhati bago ibenta? Hindi ko naman kasi masusubaybayan ang merkado; kailangang kumayod sa umaga. Hindi rin pangmatagalang hawak para sa kin sila Robbie; hindi ko arok ang kanyang Museo at di ko alam kung bakit pinapayagan at iniispoiled sya ng kanyang tatay sa mga kaululang pagkakagastusan. Hindi rin tayo nag-aambisyon na makaganansya nang katulad ng kay SUN. Hindi rin ako fan ng pilit na cleavage. Atsaka, hindi rin ako kumbinsido pa na nasa "confirmed uptrend" na ang merkado, ika nga nila William O'Neill (bagamat isa ako syemps sa nananalangin na sana simula na nga ng pagsipa pataas ng indeks).
Ngayon, nag-post ako ng buy sa AC at BEL. Sana mabiyayayaan. Sisilip din ako sa galaw ni AP at JGS bukas nang alas-diyes. Hindi gano pabongga at napapansin ang dalwang ito, pero mga solido naman na kumpanya. Ang AP, di pa gano tumaas, malamang may sipa maski +5% hanggang biyernes.
Ang JGS, natalo lang sa forex kaya mababa ang ganansyang inulat. Pero kung wala ang pagtaas ng dolyares laban sa piso, buung-buo ang kita ng mga negosyo ng conglomerate na ito. Maganda pa ang kumbinasyon ng bisnes ng mga Gokongwei. May sinerhiya ang real estate, retail, food manufacturing, plastics processing, etc. Hindi katulad ng kay RSA na kalat-kalat, buhaghag. walang core, at tirada lang nang tirada hanggang sa malugi (Wi-tribe). Di pa mahuhusay ang mga middle managers ng SMC. Magagaling lang mag-follow-up at puros sigaw (pero walang diskarte).
Gudlak sa atin!
Tama na sa akon ang diyes porsyentong kita na naani pagkatapos lamang ng tatlong araw. Bakit hindi ko hinintay ma-abot ang rurok ng luwalhati bago ibenta? Hindi ko naman kasi masusubaybayan ang merkado; kailangang kumayod sa umaga. Hindi rin pangmatagalang hawak para sa kin sila Robbie; hindi ko arok ang kanyang Museo at di ko alam kung bakit pinapayagan at iniispoiled sya ng kanyang tatay sa mga kaululang pagkakagastusan. Hindi rin tayo nag-aambisyon na makaganansya nang katulad ng kay SUN. Hindi rin ako fan ng pilit na cleavage. Atsaka, hindi rin ako kumbinsido pa na nasa "confirmed uptrend" na ang merkado, ika nga nila William O'Neill (bagamat isa ako syemps sa nananalangin na sana simula na nga ng pagsipa pataas ng indeks).
Ngayon, nag-post ako ng buy sa AC at BEL. Sana mabiyayayaan. Sisilip din ako sa galaw ni AP at JGS bukas nang alas-diyes. Hindi gano pabongga at napapansin ang dalwang ito, pero mga solido naman na kumpanya. Ang AP, di pa gano tumaas, malamang may sipa maski +5% hanggang biyernes.
Ang JGS, natalo lang sa forex kaya mababa ang ganansyang inulat. Pero kung wala ang pagtaas ng dolyares laban sa piso, buung-buo ang kita ng mga negosyo ng conglomerate na ito. Maganda pa ang kumbinasyon ng bisnes ng mga Gokongwei. May sinerhiya ang real estate, retail, food manufacturing, plastics processing, etc. Hindi katulad ng kay RSA na kalat-kalat, buhaghag. walang core, at tirada lang nang tirada hanggang sa malugi (Wi-tribe). Di pa mahuhusay ang mga middle managers ng SMC. Magagaling lang mag-follow-up at puros sigaw (pero walang diskarte).
Gudlak sa atin!
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